![]() ![]() In the long run it will cost me more.Īs I said, its only a small scratch BUT its freaking annoying.Ībout three weeks after I had bought my first ever car somebody completely smacked into the side of it trying to get into a parking place at my local tesco. ![]() Not sure what to do, is it worth the hassle pursuing this person over such a small amount on principle. If I report it to the police then I guess Im legally obliged to tell me insurer and whether I make a claim or not they will !!!!!! me next year with the premiums - whether I switch insurer or not, I still have to report it as an incident. ![]() I would rather do this privately since if I inform my insurer whether it my fault or not, it will be logged as an incident and it will increase my premiums next year no matter what. the car park have CCTV and they are happy to look and get the registration of the person but first I need to report it to the police Its a brand new car and it was not there when I parked the car, so someone must have hit my bumper trying to park next to me. I went shopping, came back and noticed a small scratch on my back bumper and some silver paint (my car is red). It happened at the Centre Courts Car Park in Wimbledon. The Scratch Master boon allows you to ignore the usual waiting period and purchase two scratchcards at a time (from any of the kiosks) before the time restrictions come into effect.I appreciate that its not really a big deal but Im wondering what my options are. However, we encourage you to use the ~6% probability to do your own calculations based on these! Scratchcard BoonĬertain factions give the opportunity of activating the Scratch Master boon if you side with them and they emerge victorious from the Battleground of the Obelisk. We do not attempt to calculate the expected value of each card, as this would require assigning a value both to the jackpot (which is always changing) and level-ups (which varies widely by pet and by user), as well as the item prizes. (The highest level prize has about a 6.23% chance, while the lowest level has a 5.84% chance.) By extension, the chance of winning nothing is a bit under 76%. In fact, because higher level prizes are awarded in the event of scratching two sets of 3 symbols on a card, the chances of higher level prizes on a scratchcard are actually very slightly higher than the lower level prizes. In short, this is the probability of getting 3 or more successes in a binomial experiment with 6 trials and a probability of success of 1/6. We can use some combinatoric theory with these probabilities to find that the chance of each prize is approximately 6%. Since there are 5 possible symbols (including blank) on each scratchcard, the chance of getting a blank square is 2/6 and the chance of each non-blank symbol is 1/6.Ī very important takeaway from this is that it means higher level prizes are not any rarer than lower level prizes! Further, the rarer scratchcards do not provide a higher chance of getting the higher prizes! The exception is the "blank" symbol which is twice as likely as each of the other symbols. Note that this analysis included primarily the four lower levels of scratchcards, so we cannot confirm that the pattern holds for the two highest level of scratchcards however, as we found an equivalent pattern for all levels of Terror Mountain scratchcards, we believe it is likely the same pattern holds for all levels.Įvery square you scratch is equally likely to be any of the possible symbols for that card. From this, we are able to strongly estimate the probabilities associated with Deserted Fairground scratchcards. Throughout 2021, a Jellyneo staffer recorded over 700 Deserted Fairground scratchcards (that's over 4,200 squares scratched!). (It may even be that your 6 symbols are pre-determined, and your clicking just decides where those symbols appear.)ĭoing the math to outsmart Sidney Detailed Explanation By extension, no particular set of 3 (or 6) squares is any more likely than other set to result in a win.
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